CrudeOil Weekly Forecast: Lower Value Tested and Limited Buying Ignited (20-24 May 2024)

The price range of WTI Crude Oil was a rather polite affair for speculators this week after mid-term lows were challenged on Wednesday of this past week.

  • The price of WTI Crude Oil went into this weekend near the 79.460 ratio; this after a low around the 76.700 value was touched on Wednesday.
  • While the lows challenged in the middle of the week hit prices last seen in late February, some buying did generate and on Thursday and a high of 79.800 came into sight.
  • However, the range of WTI Crude Oil remained within a fairly solid channel taking into consideration the results seen in the commodity since the start of this month.

Since the beginning of May, when WTI Crude Oil literarily dropped below the 80.000 USD price, the commodity has actually seen a rather tight price range which has allowed day traders to test their technical perspectives. The finish for WTI Crude Oil going into the weekend essentially closed trading near marks the commodity was testing on Monday and Tuesday of last week. The move lower needs to be considered and what happens next will be intriguing. The price of WTI Crude Oil has not traversed above 80.000 USD since the 1st of May.

U.S Economic Data and Demand for WTI Crude Oil

As the price of WTI Crude Oil remains within sight but below the 80.000 USD mark, supply and demand for the commodity remains durable. U.S demand for energy over the mid-term may come into question taking into consideration signs the U.S economy is dampening, but having closed the week of trading within sight of 80.000 USD should be considered by speculators. And experienced traders know Crude Oil demand is unlikely to suddenly vanish.

Early trading this week should be watched to see if risk appetite continues to creep into the broad financial markets, if the price of WTI Crude Oil remains comfortably below the 80.000 ratio this may be viewed as a positive by participants in equities and Forex. Tomorrow’s opening in WTI Crude Oil should be examined and if trading remains polite, and sees the commodity pushed backwards to support levels again, this could open the door for more selling to be generated. The price range of WTI Crude Oil is traversing the higher elements of its range for May and resistance levels around the 79.500 to 79.650 values should be monitored early.

Lingering Price Range and Technical Perspectives

If trading early this week continues to demonstrate a top level of WTI Crude Oil that continues to get pushed backwards when current resistance levels are tested, this could open the door for lower values. However, the ability of WTI Crude Oil to bounce with price velocity on Wednesday after seeing sharp selling may be a sign that sentiment remains nervous.

  • Once again the 78.000 to 77.000 price levels below could provide intriguing windows to test additional support levels lower.
  • If WTI Crude Oil opens with lower values early this week and support levels see sustained tests but do not falter, technical traders may start to look for reversals higher to simply see if the price range remains intact.

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Outlook:

Speculative price range for WTI Crude Oil is 75.800 to 81.300

WTI Crude Oil has seen rather quiet trading the past few weeks and this may continue in the coming days unless there is a sudden news development from the Middle East. Traders may want to use current support and resistance levels in order to test market conditions and the prevailing range. Traders are advised to continue to practicing the use of stop losses to guard against unknown developments which could cause a sudden spike in the price of WTI Crude Oil.

Energy traders are among the most experienced commodity speculators around, and know how to remain tranquil. The price of WTI Crude Oil the past few weeks has shown a lower range with occasional tests of new lows. If the world stays quiet in the coming days, technical traders may enjoy speculative opportunities in the commodity.

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CrudeOil Weekly Forecast: Values Remain Under Speculative Pressures (13-17 May 2024)

The price of WTI Crude Oil closed the week of trading slightly below its starting point last Monday, and trading in the commodity remains under speculative pressure.

  • WTI Crude Oil finished the week of trading slight below its starting point last week.
  • If a speculator wasn’t participating they might simply look at the price of the commodity as having performed a very comfortable value line, but that isn’t the story.
  • The price of WTI Crude Oil began last week with normal choppy values but fell to a low of nearly 76.680 on early Wednesday.
  • Then the price of the commodity started to climb and by Thursday was flirting with a high around 79.420.

The price of WTI Crude Oil remained within the upper levels of its short-term range going into Friday, which then created a high around the 79.520 mark. However, after hitting the apex which retouched marks from the 2nd of May, WTI Crude Oil began to selloff going into the weekend. The strong selling as Friday concluded showed that large players were feeling comfortable with fundamentals which show adequate supply and a lack of hyperbole from the Middle East.

Back to Square One as WTI Crude Oil Opens this Week

Essentially WTI Crude Oil appears set to open Monday’s trading within vicinities it began last week’s trading. From a technical perspective the ability to turn lower as the weekend approached is significant and if the commodity opens tomorrow with a tranquil price range, this might indicate lower realms could still be demonstrated. Last week’s lows touched values last seen on the 11th of March. The 76.000 level appears to be important support for WTI Crude Oil.

If WTI Crude Oil continues to sell and falls below the 77.000 mark, traders will have their eyes on last week’s low. If the 76.600 support level is able to be penetrated lower it will open the door to technical consideration via prices that were seen from December into February. Lower prices may seem like wishful thinking for the public and speculators, but if supply and demand remain consistent with the levels being demonstrated currently a bit more selling to slightly lower depths is not out of the question.

WTI Crude Oil and Fair Market Value and Global Economic Intrigue

Global economies do seem to be improving slightly via economic data from Europe and China but very slowly, this as they seem to show signs of potentially stumbling out of recessionary pressures. But the U.S economy appears to actually be growing weaker and if this decline continues it will open the door to less demand for WTI Crude Oil.

  • Support near the 77.000 level should be watched early this week; if it is penetrated another push towards lows seen last week will likely become the target.
  • Having produced a selloff going into last weekend is intriguing, WTI Crude Oil should be watched early this week to see if momentum continues, but if there is a reversal higher on early Monday this may indicate some large players believe the commodity is slightly oversold.

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Outlook:

Speculative price range for WTI Crude Oil is 75.10 to 80.20

The trajectory of WTI Crude Oil has been lower since tracing above the 87.000 price in first and second week of April. The inability last week to seriously challenge the 80.000 value is another sign that technically traders may be comfortable with the current price range. Last week’s push higher from Wednesday into early Friday are a reminder that WTI Crude Oil can move higher and day traders wagering on the commodity need to be careful.

If political saber rattling from the Middle East can remain within calm decimal levels and not scare large traders of WTI Crude Oil, it is likely the commodity will remain within a rather polite price range. The 76.000 to 79.000 levels seem like a potential playing ground in the coming days. If the commodity is able to open with selling following last week’s soft close, there is a reason to suspect some additional selling may demonstrated. The technical range of WTI Crude Oil appears to be rather firm going into this week.

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